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Are Set-Top Boxes on the Way Out?

With Fetch TV going into administration and Sky launching a web-only pay-TV service are the days of the set-top box numbered?

Kauser Kanji

Last week saw the demise of one VOD offering and the birth of another.

In the sad news column, IP Vision, owners of the Fetch TV video-on-demand service, announced that it has placed the company into administration and put all of its assets up for sale. Fetch TV, as you know, is delivered direct to IP Vision's own range of set-top boxes as well as operating a white-label service for distribution on connected TVs.

At the same time, Sky was launching a web-only pay-TV service which, according to its CEO, Jeremy Darroch, will provide "instant access to Sky Movies on demand, with no dish and no contract, and customers will be able to pay monthly or rent a movie on a pay-as-you-go basis". There's no name for this product yet but, continued Darroch, it "will be a new way to watch our content via broadband connected devices - on a PC, laptop, tablet, smartphone, games console or connected TV."

Both events, in their own ways, spell the beginning of the end for set-top boxes and here are 4 reasons why:

1.    Everything Is, or Will Be, Cross-Platform

In his statement above, Jeremy Darroch identified the 5 platforms that publishers are now aiming to provide their content to: computers, mobile phones, tablets, connected TVs and games consoles. Why? Because these devices are all online - they're capable of delivering TV shows and movies over the open internet. This method of delivery - OTT (over-the-top) - has prospered with the advent of faster broadband.

Just look at the BBC iPlayer which is now available on all of the above devices. Lovefilm is on all platforms except mobile. Even Netflix, a new entrant to the market, can be accessed on at least computer / tablet / mobile.

When you can get content where you want it, when you want it, the argument goes, why remain tethered to a box that only connects to the big TV in your living room?

2.    Our Enthusiasm for Connected Devices

An OTT delivery mechanism is great in theory but it needs mass adoption of recipient devices by consumers. Luckily, we can't get connected quickly enough. According to Ofcom, smartphone adoption has already reached almost 50% in the UK, connected TV sales are expected to surge to 503 million units in 2013 and sales of tablets are rising, year-on-year, in hundreds of percentage points. We're increasingly online so it's only natural that we want to find content there.

3.    Streaming versus Owning... or Even Waiting

Despite the enormous technological changes of the past 10 years many of us come from a generation in which it's normal to own various media: we still feel like we want to buy - rather than consume online - books, newspapers, DVDs and CDs. The new world order of video-on-demand however is challenging these behaviours. For example, about 18 months ago I bought the 'Blackadder' box set on DVD - a show that was first broadcast on BBC1 in the 80's and 90's. Now I find that Lovefilm is streaming almost the entire Blackadder catalogue making my earlier purchase redundant.

As with music there will come a time - very soon I suspect - when only die-hard fans will be unable to wait for the online streaming window to open and buy physical assets. Eventually, all content-owners will, for a premium fee, allow everyone to access their TV shows and movies, over-the-top, at will. And you'd suspect that someone, somewhere is developing a Spotify for visual entertainment. Either way, set-top box delivery doesn't figure.

4.    We Need the Plug Socket

Wireless electricity will arrive soon too but not quite yet. For now, even with multiple adapters, we may find that we could do without the unnecessary encumbrance of a set-top box taking up one of the plug sockets. Plug a hard-drive in when you want to record something and the PVR feature of many STBs is rendered null; watch everything on a connected device and you have true catch-up and video-on-demand.

On the other hand, it's still preferable to watch something on a big screen rather than a tablet; the point-click-record functionality of a remote control is still quick, efficient, thoughtless; and broadband services still suffer from outages.

A scratch of the chin.

Set-top boxes haven't quite outlived their usefulness just yet. But will they be a part of the television landscape in 10 years time?  

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