Booming streaming services helped the entertainment market to another all-time-high of £7.537bn in 2018, according to preliminary data compiled by the Entertainment Retailers Association (ERA). But after a week dominated by news of High Street retailer HMV going into administration, new analysis shows physical formats are essential to deliver the biggest hits.
After a sixth successive year of growth for the UK entertainment market, driven by digital services from the likes of Spotify, Steam, Netflix, Amazon, Deezer, Sky, Apple and Google, digital revenues accounted for more than three-quarters (76.1%) of entertainment sales value in 2018, according to ERA figures.
On a market level digital revenues now dominate all three sectors, with digital generating 80.1% of games revenues, 72.3% of video and 71.3% of music.
But on a title level, ERA analysis shows physical disc sales are still crucial to deliver the biggest hits with sales of the Top 20 films to own of the year averaging 74.1% physical and the Top 20 albums of the year averaging 61% physical.
The biggest music and video hit of the year, Hollywood musical The Greatest Showman, sold nearly two-thirds of its combined 4.3m sales on CD, DVD and Blu-ray. The biggest-selling console game of the year, FIFA 19, sold 2.5m units, around 75% on physical formats.
ERA CEO Kim Bayley said, “On a market level these figures are a stunning testament to the investment and innovation of digital services who have transformed the fortunes of an entertainment industry many had thought was doomed by the internet and piracy. Significantly in this week of HMV’s news, however, the data shows that if you want a real mass market hit, you need the reach and convenience of physical formats.
“In music even today more people buy CDs than pay for streaming subscriptions and in video more homes have DVD players than subscribe to all the leading video services put together. The challenge for physical retailers is to tap into this huge market of occasional buyers.”
ERA PRELIMINARY ENTERTAINMENT |
||||
2017 |
2018 |
% change |
||
Music |
Physical |
£459.4 |
£383.2 |
-16.6% |
|
Downloads |
£165.0 |
£122.6 |
-25.7% |
|
Streaming |
£601.9 |
£829.1 |
37.7% |
|
Total Music |
£1,226.3 |
£1,334.9 |
8.9% |
|
|
|
|
|
Video |
Physical Retail |
£742.1 |
£616.9 |
-16.9% |
|
Physical Rental |
£40.5 |
£31.7 |
-21.7% |
|
Digital |
£1,341.0 |
£1,689.4 |
26.0% |
|
Total Video |
£2,123.6 |
£2,337.9 |
10.1% |
|
|
|
|
|
Games |
Physical |
£792.4 |
£769.9 |
-2.8% |
|
Digital |
£2,750.0 |
£3,094.0 |
12.5% |
|
Total Games |
£3,542.4 |
£3,863.9 |
9.1% |
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
Physical |
£2,034.4 |
£1,801.7 |
-11.4% |
|
Digital (inc streaming) |
£4,857.9 |
£5,735.1 |
18.1% |
|
Total Entertainment |
£6,892.3 |
£7,536.8 |
9.4% |
Sources:
Music: Physical / Digital – The Official Charts Company. Streaming (subscription only) estimates – BPI / ERA.
Video: Physical – The Official Charts Company / BASE. Digital – Futuresource Consulting estimates of transactional digital video (including EST (Electronic Sell-Through) Movies & TV, iVoD (online digital rental) and CVoD/Pay-TV VoD (digital rental via Pay-TV providers to a STB). Adult & PPV sports are excluded.
SVOD (Subscription video on demand): Online subscription streaming services such as Netflix and an allocation of Amazon Prime revenue. Now TV movies, entertainment & kids is also included within this, but sports is excluded)
Games: Physical – GfK Chart Track. Digital – IHS Markit estimates (including digital online, mobile and tablet gaming), GSD
ERA’s market figures provide a definitive overview of the UK entertainment market, aggregating data from respected market analysts including the Official Charts Company, GfK, Futuresource Consulting, GSD and IHS. Preliminary numbers will be updated and confirmed with the publication of the ERA Yearbook in March 2019.
Games now account for more than half of the entertainment market
The biggest winner in entertainment’s digital transformation has been the games sector. For the first time in 2018, ERA can report that games accounted for more than half of the entire UK entertainment market (51.3%). More than any other sector, games has benefitted from a proliferation of new services from direct to console downloads to mobile and social gaming.
The physical console and PC games market shrank slightly in 2018, down 2.8% to £769.9m, and digital growth was by recent standards a modest 12.5% to £3.094m, but the sheer scale of the games market is such that it was enough to make it bigger than video and music combined.
Now worth £3.864bn, the games market has – thanks to digital – more than doubled in value since 2007.
ERA CEO Kim Bayley said, “The games industry has been incredibly effective in taking advantage of the potential of digital technology to offer new and compelling forms of entertainment. Despite being the youngest of our three sectors, it is now by far the biggest.”
THE UK’S BIGGEST SELLING CONSOLE GAMES 2018* |
|||
Position |
Title |
Company |
Physical Unit Sales |
1 |
FIFA 19 |
Electronic Arts |
1,889,401 |
2 |
Red Dead Redemption 2 |
Take 2 |
1,757,212 |
3 |
Call Of Duty: Black Ops 4 |
Activision Blizzard |
1,172,855 |
4 |
Marvel’s Spider-Man |
Sony Computer Ent. |
676,621 |
5 |
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe |
Nintendo |
458,675 |
6 |
Far Cry 5 |
Ubisoft |
434,133 |
7 |
Crash Bandicoot N.Sane Trilogy |
Activision Blizzard |
430,551 |
8 |
God Of War |
Sony Computer Ent. |
399,395 |
9 |
Forza Horizon 4 |
Microsoft |
392,960 |
10 |
FIFA 18 |
Electronic Arts |
351,788 |
11 |
Grand Theft Auto V |
Take 2 |
339,805 |
12 |
Spyro Reignited Trilogy |
Activision Blizzard |
333,725 |
13 |
Battlefield V |
Electronic Arts |
313,100 |
14 |
Assassin’s Creed Odyssey |
Ubisoft |
305,937 |
15 |
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate |
Nintendo |
284,155 |
16 |
Super Mario Odyssey |
Nintendo |
240,710 |
17 |
Call Of Duty: Wwii |
Activision Blizzard |
230,576 |
18 |
Pokemon: Let’s Go, Pikachu! |
Nintendo |
227,767 |
19 |
Shadow Of The Tomb Raider |
Square Enix / Microsoft |
226,125 |
20 |
Fallout 76 |
Bethesda Softworks |
218,534 |
Source: GfK/UKIE. * Digital games data not currently available
Video sees benefit of boom in downloads and streaming services
Downloads from Amazon, Apple and Sky Store and streaming services such as Netflix, Amazon Prime and Sky’s Now TV again proved the biggest news in video, driving digital revenues up 26% to £1.689bn.
This was in sharp contrast to the performance of DVD, down 23.5% in volume, and Blu-ray, down 11.9%. In value terms, with revenues of £2.338bn in 2018, the video business is now 7.4% above its 2012 low-point, but still well below its historic 2004 high of £2.953bn.
The best-selling film to own of 2018 was Hollywood musical The Greatest Showman, which sold 2.69m units, 71.3% of them on DVD or Blu-ray disc.
It topped a chart dominated by escapism and sci-fi fantasy and strongly oriented to physical formats.
ERA CEO Kim Bayley said, “Video was arguably entertainment’s most dynamic sector in 2018. Streaming services have transformed the viewing choices of the British public by offering 24/7 access and convenience. Meanwhile sales figures show the continuing loyalty of video consumers to DVD and Blu-ray, still the default choices for gift-buying and building a video collection.”
THE UK’S BIGGEST SELLING VIDEOS 2018 |
|||||
Position |
Title |
Corp. Group |
Sales |
% Digital |
% Physical |
1 |
The Greatest Showman |
20th Century Fox |
2,688,069 |
28.7% |
71.3% |
2 |
Avengers – Infinity War |
Walt Disney |
1,203,947 |
32.9% |
67.1% |
3 |
Mamma Mia – Here We Go Again |
Universal Pictures |
1,188,954 |
15.3% |
84.7% |
4 |
Star Wars – The Last Jedi |
Walt Disney |
1,155,736 |
15.0% |
85.0% |
5 |
Paddington 2 |
Elevation Sales |
955,674 |
20.3% |
79.7% |
6 |
Peter Rabbit |
Sony Pictures |
899,271 |
30.0% |
70.0% |
7 |
Jumanji – Welcome To The Jungle |
Sony Pictures |
824,700 |
33.5% |
66.5% |
8 |
Black Panther |
Walt Disney |
813,979 |
19.6% |
80.4% |
9 |
Jurassic World – Fallen Kingdom |
Universal Pictures |
779,946 |
35.2% |
64.8% |
10 |
Thor – Ragnarok |
Walt Disney |
776,342 |
10.4% |
89.6% |
11 |
Deadpool 2 |
20th Century Fox |
763,175 |
35.3% |
64.7% |
12 |
Solo – A Star Wars Story |
Walt Disney |
697,447 |
24.6% |
75.4% |
13 |
Darkest Hour |
Universal Pictures |
645,414 |
22.3% |
77.7% |
14 |
Kingsman – The Golden Circle |
20th Century Fox |
613,407 |
34.1% |
65.9% |
15 |
Blade Runner 2049 |
Sony Pictures |
582,943 |
22.7% |
77.3% |
16 |
Justice League |
Warner Home Video |
579,381 |
33.2% |
66.8% |
17 |
Incredibles 2 |
Walt Disney |
545,056 |
29.6% |
70.4% |
18 |
Coco |
Walt Disney |
536,486 |
28.7% |
71.3% |
19 |
It (2017) |
Warner Home Video |
456,086 |
26.5% |
73.5% |
20 |
Murder On The Orient Express |
20th Century Fox |
443,035 |
26.2% |
73.8% |
Source: Official Charts Company/BASE. Includes physical sales plus download to own
Music streams its way to success
Music registered its fourth successive year of growth in 2018 thanks to streaming with revenues generated by services like Spotify, Apple, Amazon, Deezer and Google/YouTube growing 37.7% to reach £829.1m.
The switch away from downloads continued with single track downloads down 25.5% over the year and album downloads down 26.3%.
Physical formats performed less well, with CD unit sales down another 23.1%. After a decade of growth, vinyl album sales grew just 1.6%.
The music sector is now 30% bigger than it was at its 2014 low-point of £1.03bn, but it is still well off its 2001 peak of £2.11bn.
The key trend in music in 2018 was the strength of original movie cast recordings. The biggest seller was The Greatest Showman with sales of 1.62m units and it was accompanied in the Top 10 by two other original movie cast recordings – Mamma Mia – Here We Go Again and A Star Is Born.
ERA CEO Kim Bayley said, “Streaming services were once again the star performers in the UK music market in 2018, but the continuing strength of physical sales at the top end of the chart means that unless you are a hip-hop artist, the only way to have a really big album is to generate CD sales as well as streams.”
THE UK’S BIGGEST ALBUMS 2018 |
||||||
Title |
Artist |
Total Units |
Corp. Group |
% Digital |
% Physical |
|
1 |
The Greatest Showman |
Cast Recording |
1,621,905 |
Warner |
48.7% |
51.3% |
2 |
Staying At Tamara’s |
George Ezra |
691,332 |
Sony |
29.5% |
70.5% |
3 |
Divide |
Ed Sheeran |
510,305 |
Warner |
59.1% |
40.9% |
4 |
Now That’s What I Call Music 100 |
Various Artists |
479,197 |
Sony / Universal |
14.6% |
85.4% |
5 |
Now That’s What I Call Music 99 |
Various Artists |
395,237 |
Sony / Universal |
16.9% |
83.1% |
6 |
Mamma Mia – Here We Go Again |
Cast Recording |
374,476 |
Universal |
34.1% |
65.9% |
7 |
Scorpion |
Drake |
300,100 |
Universal |
93.1% |
6.9% |
8 |
Now That’s What I Call Music 101 |
Various Artists |
287,217 |
Sony / Universal |
7.2% |
92.8% |
9 |
Beerbongs & Bentleys |
Post Malone |
281,644 |
Universal |
91.9% |
8.1% |
10 |
A Star Is Born |
Cast Recording |
271,635 |
Universal |
35.9% |
64.1% |
11 |
Love |
Michael Buble |
263,538 |
Warner |
6.7% |
93.3% |
12 |
Dua Lipa |
Dua Lipa |
251,280 |
Warner |
65.1% |
34.9% |
13 |
Kamikaze |
Eminem |
232,420 |
Universal |
71.6% |
28.4% |
14 |
Odyssey |
Take That |
231,290 |
Sony / Universal |
7.1% |
92.9% |
15 |
Si |
Andrea Bocelli |
213,321 |
Universal |
5.1% |
94.9% |
16 |
Bohemian Rhapsody – OST |
Queen |
210,306 |
Universal |
35.2% |
64.8% |
17 |
Always In Between |
Jess Glynne |
204,923 |
Warner |
28.2% |
71.8% |
18 |
Blood Red Roses |
Rod Stewart |
196,192 |
Universal |
5.1% |
94.9% |
19 |
Sweetener |
Ariana Grande |
193,362 |
Universal |
61.7% |
38.3% |
20 |
The Architect |
Paloma Faith |
179,716 |
Sony |
22.9% |
77.1% |
Source: The Official Charts Company
The “Christmas from hell”
The structural challenges faced by physical retailers were compounded by a Christmas trading season worse than many entertainment retailers can remember.
In the week leading up to December 21, DVD sales were down 31.2% on the same week the previous year, Blu-ray sales were down 33.5% and CD sales were down 29.4%.
ERA CEO Kim Bayley said, “It was truly the Christmas from hell. High Street retailing is clearly suffering and that certainly impacted the entertainment business. It is a testament to the strength of the streaming revolution that despite it all, entertainment enjoyed its sixth consecutive year of growth.”
ABOUT KAUSER KANJI
Kauser Kanji has been working in online video for 19 years, formerly at Virgin Media, ITN and NBC Universal, and founded VOD Professional in 2011. He has since completed major OTT projects for, amongst others, A+E Networks, the BBC, BBC Studios, Channel 4, DR (Denmark), Liberty Global, Netflix, Sony Pictures, the Swiss Broadcasting Corporation and UKTV. He now writes industry analyses, hosts an online debate show, OTT Question Time, as well as its in-person sister event, OTT Question Time Live.